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Two and a half wolves

Posted Nov 11, 2026 | Views 3
# Agentic AI
# Software Engineering
# AI Coding
# Engineering Careers
# Open Weight Models
# AAIF Munich
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Speaker

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Svetozar Miučin
Solutions Architect @ Amazon Web Services (AWS)

Svetozar Miučin is a Solutions Architect at AWS, helping startups across Germany build scalable, cost-efficient cloud infrastructure and adopt GenAI solutions. He holds a PhD in Computer Engineering from the University of British Columbia and brings 12 years of experience in software engineering, AI/ML, and systems optimization.

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SUMMARY

Are you paying attention? Software engineering has changed. Agents are here in force. Everything is in flux. To adapt in the long term, we must understand the foundations.

An open-weight model took Svetozar Miučin's naive PageRank in C from 4 seconds to 0.1 seconds in about five minutes. He spent six years of his PhD building tools for that kind of work.

In this talk, given in a personal capacity, Svetozar argues that inside every engineer are two and a half wolves. The builder wolf ships anything for the dopamine. The craft wolf cares about engineering excellence. The cub, the half wolf, decides what is worth building at all. Along the way, he covers why "we get paid for an outcome, not a verb", the shaky base of the engineering pyramid as fewer juniors come in, why the first question should be "can I sell it?" (get a letter of intent), and why the future is polymathic.

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CONTENT & TRANSCRIPT

Thank you, Max, for the amazing talk on the infrastructure factory. Um, we're going to do a slight change of of gears here. I'm not going to go very technical on you tonight. Um, my name is Fedazar. My pronouns are he, him, and today I'm going to talk to you about two and a half wolves. If you're a little bit confused, that's because I want you to be a little bit confused at this point. Um, this is an unaffiliated talk. So, all of the opinions expressed here are completely my own. I do not represent anyone here. All right. So, let's get to know each other. Um, I told you my name. I work currently at Amazon Web Services. This is a list of places I worked at. uh scaled to the amount of time I spent there. This is roughly the list of topics that are currently occupying my brain over the course of my life. I got to accumulate three higher uh education degrees. More on that in a little bit. And I come originally from Serbia. I've spent nine years in Canada and finally came to Munich 5 years ago. All right. So before we start, I need to disclose my AI usage because I think it's fair. Um, all of the text on and off screen is fully my own. I haven't used AI for writing. Um, thank you. The used AI for writing. Um, thank you. The slide, thank you. Very kind. Uh, the slide layout is executed by DeepSeek 4.1 Flash in a PI harness uh completely directed by me. So the way things should look are driven by me but executed by an AI. All of the you'll see the generated images. They're done by a model uh by a very good local Munich company called Pruna. Uh there's some charts and diagrams. Some of them I handcrafted in Draw.io. Some of them I actually drew on paper and took a photo of and then had Claude transcribe them into Python codes to regenerate them. Very fun. And some data sets were obtained through claude in research mode. And is this dying? No, shouldn't be. Okay. Um, cool. So, motivation. Why am I talking to you about this today? Well, I've been on the internet, as I'm sure all of you have, and there's quite a bit of sentiment coming from the software engineering community. Oh, an agent. It's an agent. Um, okay, we'll try it a little bit more. Um, and usually it boils down to two camps. Some people are very worried about where we are headed and they want the good old times back, which is valid, and some people are on the contrary very bullish. They're running their agents 24/7, producing PRs as they sleep, you know, all of that magical stuff. Um so me being a software engineer by education u and a long career um this affects me personally right so I want to know um or I can't know but I want to try to figure out what software engineering is and should look like in the future. The second part of my motivation I told you I'm going to come back to the education story. Um so I'm an academia survivor. I did a PhD in computer systems. Um namely memory performance optimization. If you haven't done this in your life, you're very very lucky. Uh it's a very gnarly field. Uh memory performance optimization used to be extremely difficult. So during my stint in academia, I built tools to help people optimize memory performance automatically through the use of um some machine learning, some code analysis, etc. This was a long time ago. Um and then recently I wanted to test how LLMs fare at this. So I took page rank. Anyone remember page rank? Yeah, some heads. Nice. Uh, page rank is a graph algorithm for ranking web pages. I think pioneered by Google um way back, right? And it was used as one of the interesting benchmarks in the performance optimization community. So I took page rank, I did a very naive implementation of it in C with no optimization, right? So linked uh structures all the way everything sucked and then I took my DeepSseek Flash 4.1 the other day and told it to optimize the other day and told it to optimize that and we got this. So the baseline it's a small data set right it's fast 4 seconds first iteration dropped to.3 seconds second iteration dropped to.1 seconds and that's where I stopped the whole process because I can't take it anymore right so this made me feel two things one is I spent six years of my life trying to figure out how to build tools to do this and Now you know an openw weight model can do this in 5 minutes. Very bad. Um the other thing I felt was you know zooming out a little bit. This is what I set out set out to do originally and you know we kind of got there. That's cool and fun. That's it for the motivation. So, um, this talk is called Two and a Half Wolves, and it's because of this thing. There's a, if you don't know it, it's a wall of text. I promise this is the only big text slide. Don't have to read it. I'm going to tell you. If you don't know this, there's a folk wisdom tale, Source Unknown, about a kid asking his grandpa um about the struggle within people, right? So the grandpa responds, "There are two wolves inside of me. One represents everything that is good, the other everything that is bad." And they're constantly at war. And the kid asks, "Okay, but which wolf will win?" And the grandpa sagely responds, "The one you feed." So news flash, there are two and a half wolves inside of you. And today I'm going to talk about these two and a half wolves, who they are, what they feed on, and how we can keep them in check. The first wolf, the builder wolf, it loves building. It just builds anything. It'll build a house. It'll build a SAS product. It'll build a whatever, right? It doesn't care how. It just builds. It gets high from It just builds. It gets high from building. Some evidence of the builder wolf in action. This is from GitHub Octoverse um last 10 years of number of GitHub developers. So you can see this knee in 2023 when things started going north. Um and this is just around the time that Agentic coding tools started getting a little bit more usable. Right? So in the end last year, this is the last data point. It was 180 million developers on GitHub. GitHub got hugged to death. They had to look for infrastructure elsewhere. We brought down GitHub because the builder wolf is a dopamine because the builder wolf is a dopamine junkie, right? It feeds on instant gratification from having built something and released it into the public. No matter what it is, no matter the value. Another story of the builder wolf. I'm sure you're all familiar with this. Someone in this last wave of craziness of reverse engineering stuff went and reverse engineered the very popular creative suite. Um, so Photocraft is one of the tools, right? They're all rewritten in Rust, of course. What else? Um, and it's very popular or it was very popular for the whole of 3 days, right? The internet hype cycle. Um, what I want to outline on this slide is the number of issues, right? So, if you if you read any accounts of the people who actually tried using this, there's a lot of rough edges. I'm not I'm not saying they're not going to fix it, but there's a lot of rough edges and it was released of rough edges and it was released somewhere. So, be careful with the builder wolf, right? The builder wolf builds, it doesn't care what your hobby project backlog is now empty for the first time, right? There's no backlog. It eats tokens for lunch and it probably has a substack. Uh, where does it feed? It feeds on vtags. V tags for those less technical are tags you typically use to mark releases on GitHub, right? So, ship it on LinkedIn. Um, it also feeds on running the same old prompt on the four newest models to produce a 3D rendered scene. Oh my god. Wow. Um, right. Because you built this somehow. Max is operational word somehow. Um, it also uh feeds on building while you do other stuff because it doesn't care about the process. It only cares about that dopamine hit that you get at the end. Things to look out for. Abandon wear, right? If you're not familiar with the term, it's stuff that gets released and never looked at again, right? There's a lot of that going around. It doesn't care about quality. So all of the tests are kind of going to be tautologies, right? One equals one. That's my test. It passes. Yay, release. And also those hundreds of commits that you did over the weekend, you're not going to review them. That's the truth. Right? So that's the builder wolf, right? And before we go on, we have a short intermission because I need to talk to you about programming as part of your identity. A lot of software engineers conflate their value with producing code. This historically makes sense. If you look at uh earning data, next slide. Sorry. Sorry, Wilson. Uh if you look at uh this is US census data on incomes, software developers historically were very well paid for what essentially is emitting code into something, right? So when someone comes in and tells you coding is solved, you are bound to take it very personally, right? if you self-identify as a code production engine. But I think this is wrong. Right. So, we're going to play a little game. Okay, everyone ready? I want participation. What is this wolf paid to do? Drive the bus. Drive the bus. Excellent. Except it's wrong. This wolf is taking workers to uh taking workers to uh production. Correct. I would say taking people from point A to point B. Right, you got it. This wolf, it doesn't put out fire. Firefighters sometimes actually set fires. Um, if you have a large wildfire, u there's this thing where they will burn a ring around it to consume its f fuel. So I would say that firefighters are paid to prevent fire related damage to persons, nature and property. I would prefer it in that order. Um what is this we'll get paid to order. Um what is this we'll get paid to do? It's a trick question. Right. Right. Code but only not right. It solves business problems. Right? We get paid for the outcome, not the verb. Right? It's never the verb. If I have a company and I need to hire software engineers, I'm not going to hire them because I love seeing code appear out of thin air and that's kind of my kink. I'm going to hire them to solve the problem that my company set off to solve through writing software. Sure, that's fine. But the outcome is going to be problem solved. So we've seen the builder wolf. We did this little game. And now the cra the crafts little game. And now the cra the crafts wolf. Uh so the craft wolf is a very proud animal. It um strives for engineering perfection. It loves, you know, staying up late and debugging stuff. I guess I would argue um that we still need the crafts wolf. And I'm going to give you a very contrived, very funny um anecdote. So recently it was my wife's birthday and I wanted to make her a cake. So I took Claude Sonnet uh the the new one. Um and I asked it I gave it the recipe and I wanted a shopping list, right? I told it what I have in the fridge. Generate me a shopping list. So Claude in its infinite wisdom, right? This is new state-of-the-art models. It told me that six egg whites, one egg yolk, five more egg yolks, um, comes up to 6 + 6 equals 11. So me being the, you know, professional at counting eggs, I was like, wait a second, that's not right. And then claw was like like f fair, right? It corrected itself. We got to the correct number. I didn't over buy on eggs. Don't worry. Um, this is funny and unrelated except if you exchange the making of a cake with creating software that handles people's credit card information, right? So, you want your equivalent of an egg counting expert to always be there and slap the thing when it goes sideways, right? But what does the craftswolf really crave? I would say that the craftsswolf does not crave uh producing code. Producing code was a challenge in the past. And that's what us software engineers really love. We love challenges. We love solving complex love challenges. We love solving complex problems. When agentic coding started, we had this period where models were kind of crappy. harnesses were almost non non-existent, right? And then the game was prompt engineering, right? Everyone's a prompt engineer. So there in that brief period of time, sorry. Um, you actually got improvement from learning a skill, right? You prompted one way, it fails spectacularly, and then you learn, you get better, and then you improve. You improve the output, you learn something along the way. And it was fun and rewarding except there was this one point in time. I'm sure you all know uh where AI models just got scary good at stuff um and it became less important to write a good prompt um to get a decent outcome especially for kind of general purpose code. At that point crafts wolf was completely checked out right I'm out of here. I don't care. So we need to keep some level of human expertise in agentic coding. Right? This chart shows four quadrants. Uh comparing human knowledge uh against AI capability. Not comparing but just kind of seeing the comparing but just kind of seeing the interactions. If human knowledge is low, no matter how capable your AI is, you don't know what's happening. you don't know if what it's building is good or if it's absolute crap that's going to catch fire tomorrow. However, if your expertise is tomorrow. However, if your expertise is high, low capability AI is going to slow you down a bit. You're going to have to push back, right, in your reviews. A highly capable AI is, you know, you're not going to have to correct it that much, right? You're still going to have to review, but it's that's a decent combo, right? So we need to preserve a certain level of domain expertise in our certain level of domain expertise in our work. How do we get high expertise? Well, right, first we're a junior, then we're just uh then we're a senior, and then we're, you know, the top of the pantheon, the gods of software engineering, right? The interesting thing that happens on this pyramid is as you go up, your knowledge goes up. Your leadership skills typically need to go up because you're going to start mentoring others, right? But also, the amount of code you put into production is likely to go down. This is not a rule. It doesn't happen always. This is typically what you see, right? because you're moving on to more strategic stuff into more steering the project setting the steering the project setting the foundations and this is great this is what all software engineers uh aspire to become or not all right so how does this look on projects in a brownfield project which is something we're already operating the juniors go and fix the bugs right to get good uh the middle levels probably implement the new features and then the most senior levels own the then the most senior levels own the architecture. Greenfield senior staff levels usually set the architecture for a new project, right? They set everything up so it can be handed over then they hand it over and then they walk away, right? They move on to the next project or into a more advisory role. What happens when you drop AI coding in What happens when you drop AI coding in there? That might go away, right? The parts where we're actually producing code, I'm not saying it's going to go away, right? I'm nobody has this uh Oracle power of extrapolation to tell you what's going to happen in 3 months anymore. Right? Four years ago, we didn't have chat GPT. Today, we have software factories. That's crazy, right? So, I don't know. But if that goes away, the big game becomes owning the architecture, right? Owning the system design, understanding how everything fits and making sure that this can scale through infinite code production, right? That the code production can remain good throughout the project. Why this is bad is now our bottom layers of the pyramid are looking hella shaky, right? So if you don't have juniors today or you have no need for juniors or no bugs to you know chase around and get good in five years we're you know going to have fewer seniors and and above so how do we strengthen this right I put this into two categories one is individual work one is community work on the individual level you can force yourself to do a certain amount of handcrafted artal code. Nobody's going to do this, right? Some people are going to do it, but they are a very small to do it, but they are a very small minority. You can read textbooks. I I love reading textbooks. Every couple of years, I go back and take one of the university textbooks that I read, right? Go into operating system design or computer architecture, reread it, and you figure out you had blind spots. you learn a thing or two a new these are very well structured for learning intake right so textbooks are great use LLMs for interactive learning right so as a sparring partner to learn new tech they are good retrieval engines for most information and you can actually have a conversation and go in a direction that you prefer which is very direction that you prefer which is very nice and then most importantly This one we can and must strive to do find engineering challenges beyond producing code. Not everything is solved. You cannot dump all the problems into cloud code and right it's miraculously done right. So find right build I don't know build software factories build infrastructure factories build uh figure out how to make agents not screw up I don't know these are engineering challenges right pick something that is not really solved yet and try to actually get in there and learn on the community level mentor more junior people I think juniors these days are scared I spoke to some master students from LMU recently and I asked them like so what's going to happen after masters and they're like we don't after masters and they're like we don't know it's it's very scary to be a junior today um have discussions about software and not just this got released look at it uh but actually discussions about what software is right how does software work computer go fast uh bring back staring at the screen together. Pair programming was a great tool to have uh two sets of opinions challenging each other. Right? We can keep this. We can build stuff and talk to each other and build it together real time. Maintains human touch and also provides you a sparring partner that's not clawed. Um finally, most importantly, be nice to each other, right? So, we're still a community. We're still right. Software engineering We're still right. Software engineering is it's a it's a community I guess the best word. Um being crappy to each other doesn't help anyone, right? Be nice to each other. Um so the crafts wolf, back to the funny stuff. Um it's a proud animal. Uh it thrives through learning and challenges. Where does it feed? It feeds on coffee primarily. uh it feeds on learning new stuff, right? So, attacking new challenges, growing and making wonderful feats of engineering. Things to look out for with the crafts wolf. It can be a little bit paranoid, right? Um sometimes justifiably so. Sometimes it can be a little um nearsighted and not see the forest from the trees, right? Some problems today seem catastrophic. I think we need to zoom out and try to right map out our trade all over again because it's changing. It's prone to bouts of nostalgia. Uh nostalgia is great sometimes in small doses. Avoid getting into rabbit holes. So, going back to the wolf story, um, there's a better version of this that I prefer, and it only changes this one line that says the one you feed. Right. So, which wolf wins, they both do if you feed them, right? Right. So, apply that to the builder and the crafts wolf. And it says both, but I still owe you half a wolf. Right. Are you ready? Look at it. So cute. It's the cub. Uh the cub is the new kid on the block in software engineering. It sits on the sidelines for now and judges, right? It tells the other two, "Hey, uh maybe that's really a stupid thing to build. Let's not do that." How does it decide what to build right now? Or at first it decides on pure instinct. Us as software decides on pure instinct. Us as software engineers, we do not have this instinct honed yet. We need to grow it, right? So some things you can do on personal projects to decide whether to build it or not is ask yourself, is it fun? Am I learning something new, Craftswolf? Am I solving a problem for myself or someone else? Can I write a LinkedIn post about it? This is sometimes a good piece of um advice. Um maybe soon, right, once the AI labs decide to stop footing 95% of your coding bill, maybe token costs become a a piece of criteria for building. And finally, should I spend this time with family and friends? For me, the answer is almost always yes. Um, that's non-commercial projects. In commercial projects, I lately have been talking to product people, some of them here in the audience. Um, and I really like what the product community has kind of figured out as the main north star in whether you should do something or not. Can I sell it? Right? And this is not asking your relative, hey, would you use this app? Or asking someone, would you buy this app? No. Get a letter of intent, right? Get ink on paper that someone's willing to pay money for what you want to build and then it's justified. So, the cub decides what not to build, right? It focuses on ROI. Um, it chooses where it spends time. It feeds on failure. It feeds on your failure and other people's failure. Um by mapping out the negative space and then learning what's remaining, right? So you need to map out what is failing out there or what failed for me and then not do that, right? It feeds on disillusionment, right? Sometimes you have this amazing idea for an app and then you go all in. You build stuff um and then reality slaps you and nobody wants it. Right? So disisconfirm your beliefs. Go out there early. Test it, right? Test the idea with people. It feeds also on delighting users. This is as a good product manager, right? Things to look out for. It's still very small. We're software engineers. because we're not product people. They're better at this than we are. Um, but we need to feed it, right? Be careful because the the little one will sometimes steal food from the crafts wolf, right? And sometimes the return on investment doesn't have to be material. Sometimes learning is a good enough return on investment, right? So sometimes it's fine to build it if no one buys it or uses it as long as you learn something uses it as long as you learn something new. In a normal pro product life cycle, right, they map almost um too cleanly onto product ideation where the cub leads, right? Decides what to build. Uh the soft launch or pilot where you go and like vibe, slop whatever and start bringing it in front of people. And then for production, you actually need to bring in the big guns. This is where our old skills as software engineers pay off, right? And we need to feed all of off, right? And we need to feed all of them. Takeaway. We're nearing the end. So where do we go from here? The future is where do we go from here? The future is polymatic. Polymats are people who are expert at multiple things, right? You've heard the terms renaissance engineer or product terms renaissance engineer or product engineer. I think this is a direction where we're going because coding is, you know, not going to cut. It's not dead, but it's not the only thing we're going to have to do in the future, right? We're going to have to find more engineering challenges. Understand your specific wolves. You don't have to use my stupid wolf analogy. I don't care. But the concepts, map them onto how you operate, right? Are you burning tokens on the weekend for nothing or are you actually spending time learning something, getting better, and understanding more of the world? Feed them accordingly. Right? If the crafts wolf is starving, do something that feeds it. Right? Find your new challenges. Learn and adapt. This field is changing so quickly. It was accelerating for a while while right before AI. I've been around software engineering for a minute. Um, and I don't think anyone's seen this so far, right? And the final one that I'm going to steal from late George Carlin from Bill and Ted's Excellent Adventure. Uh, be excellent to each other, right? We are a community. We need to figure out the direction in which the community needs to go in into the future and define what the future holds for software engineering. Right? So this is a group effort. Talk to people. Discuss how you do things. Don't be selfish. Right? Um we're all in this together. And that is not everything I had. You can scan this. This is my landing page. Um, I have like five more slides, but I think we're out of time and I deliberately cut it here. Uh, but I'm happy to talk to you about the five other slides offline.
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